{"id":546,"date":"2026-01-15T04:05:52","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T04:05:52","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/?p=546"},"modified":"2026-01-15T04:05:52","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T04:05:52","slug":"astrologers-predictions-1929-fallacy-false-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/science\/history-of-science\/astrologers-predictions-1929-fallacy-false-hope\/","title":{"rendered":"1929: Kdy\u017e hv\u011bzdy selhaly \u2013 jak astrologov\u00e9 \u201enevid\u011bli\u201c Velkou depresi"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">P\u0159edpov\u011bdi astrolog\u016f pro rok 1929: P\u0159\u00edpad klamu a fale\u0161n\u00e9 nad\u011bje<\/h2>\n\n<p>V kronik\u00e1ch americk\u00fdch d\u011bjin se rok 1929 zapsal jako obdob\u00ed nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fdch hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch turbulenc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 znamenaly po\u010d\u00e1tek Velk\u00e9 deprese. Kdy\u017e se v\u0161ak na tuto dobu d\u00edv\u00e1me zp\u011btn\u011b, nem\u016f\u017eeme si pomoci a pt\u00e1me se: co kdyby v\u0161e dopadlo jinak?<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Roaring Twenties: Dek\u00e1da optimismu<\/h3>\n\n<p>Dvac\u00e1t\u00e1 l\u00e9ta dvac\u00e1t\u00e9ho stolet\u00ed byla dek\u00e1dou bezprecedentn\u00edho r\u016fstu a prosperity. Technologick\u00e9 pokroky v oblasti rozhlasu, filmu a automobil\u016f spojily n\u00e1rod jako nikdy p\u0159edt\u00edm. \u017deny z\u00edskaly volebn\u00ed pr\u00e1vo a akciov\u00e9 trhy dosahovaly rekordn\u00edch v\u00fd\u0161ek.<\/p>\n\n<p>V t\u00e9to atmosf\u00e9\u0159e optimismu astrologov\u00e9 u\u010dinili odv\u00e1\u017en\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi pro rok 1929. V \u010dl\u00e1nku publikovan\u00e9m 30. prosince 1928 v Ogden Standard-Examiner astrologov\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u00eddali rok pokra\u010duj\u00edc\u00ed prosperity, kdy mzdy a v\u00fddaje dos\u00e1hnou nov\u00fdch v\u00fd\u0161in. Dokonce p\u0159edpov\u00eddali sv\u011btov\u00fd m\u00edr do konce roku.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Velk\u00fd krach v roce 1929: Krut\u00e9 probuzen\u00ed<\/h3>\n\n<p>Jak dnes v\u00edme, nemohly b\u00fdt p\u0159edpov\u011bdi astrolog\u016f v\u00edce myln\u00e9. 24. \u0159\u00edjna 1929 akciov\u00e1 bublina praskla a spustila katastrof\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159et\u011bzec ud\u00e1lost\u00ed. Trh nad\u00e1le prudce klesal a vyvrcholil to pov\u011bstn\u00fdm \u010cern\u00fdm \u00fater\u00fdm 28. \u0159\u00edjna, kdy ztratil 11 procent sv\u00e9 hodnoty.<\/p>\n\n<p>N\u00e1sledn\u00e1 Velk\u00e1 deprese byla ni\u010divou ranou pro americkou ekonomiku a spole\u010dnost. Miliony lid\u00ed p\u0159i\u0161ly o pr\u00e1ci, podniky krachovaly a chudoba byla v\u0161udyp\u0159\u00edtomn\u00e1.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Klam astrologick\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00ed<\/h3>\n\n<p>Napln\u011bn\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi astrolog\u016f pro rok 1929 zd\u016fraz\u0148uj\u00ed klam spol\u00e9h\u00e1n\u00ed se na astrologii p\u0159i p\u0159edpov\u00edd\u00e1n\u00ed budoucnosti. Astrologie vych\u00e1z\u00ed z p\u0159esv\u011bd\u010den\u00ed, \u017ee pozice nebesk\u00fdch t\u011bles v dob\u011b narozen\u00ed \u010dlov\u011bka nebo ur\u010dit\u00e9 ud\u00e1losti mohou ovlivnit jeho osud. Neexistuje v\u0161ak \u017e\u00e1dn\u00fd v\u011bdeck\u00fd d\u016fkaz, kter\u00fd by toto tvrzen\u00ed podpo\u0159il.<\/p>\n\n<p>Proroctv\u00ed, um\u011bn\u00ed p\u0159edpov\u00eddat budouc\u00ed ud\u00e1losti, je slo\u017eitou sm\u011bsic\u00ed v\u011bdy, um\u011bn\u00ed a \u0161t\u011bst\u00ed. Zat\u00edmco n\u011bkter\u00e9 p\u0159edpov\u011bdi se mohou uk\u00e1zat jako p\u0159esn\u00e9, spol\u00e9hat se v\u00fdhradn\u011b na astrologii nebo jin\u00e9 pseudov\u011bdeck\u00e9 metody je nakonec marn\u00e9.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Zp\u011btn\u00fd pohled a historick\u00e9 pochopen\u00ed<\/h3>\n\n<p>S v\u00fdhodou zp\u011btn\u00e9ho pohledu vid\u00edme, jak optimismus dvac\u00e1t\u00fdch let oslepil mnoh\u00e9 p\u0159ed podkladov\u00fdmi hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdmi probl\u00e9my, kter\u00e9 vedly k Velk\u00e9 depresi. Akciov\u00fd trh byl nadhodnocen\u00fd a spekulace byly hojn\u00e9. P\u0159edpov\u011bdi astrolog\u016f pouze pos\u00edlily p\u0159evl\u00e1daj\u00edc\u00ed pocit euforie m\u00edsto toho, aby poskytly skute\u010dn\u00fd vhled do budoucnosti.<\/p>\n\n<p>Pochopen\u00ed historick\u00fdch ud\u00e1lost\u00ed vy\u017eaduje kritick\u00e9 zkoum\u00e1n\u00ed fakt\u016f a ochotu zpochyb\u0148ovat p\u0159edpoklady. Zat\u00edmco zp\u011btn\u00fd pohled m\u016f\u017ee poskytnout cenn\u00e9 ponau\u010den\u00ed, je d\u016fle\u017eit\u00e9 pamatovat, \u017ee budoucnost je v\u017edy nejist\u00e1.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>P\u0159edpov\u011bdi astrolog\u016f pro rok 1929: P\u0159\u00edpad klamu a fale\u0161n\u00e9 nad\u011bje V kronik\u00e1ch americk\u00fdch d\u011bjin se rok 1929 zapsal jako obdob\u00ed nechvaln\u011b zn\u00e1m\u00fdch hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00fdch turbulenc\u00ed, kter\u00e9 znamenaly po\u010d\u00e1tek Velk\u00e9 deprese. Kdy\u017e&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25223,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[1361,524,27,1362,1363],"class_list":["post-546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-history-of-science","tag-astrology","tag-great-depression","tag-history","tag-predictions","tag-science-and-pseudoscience"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=546"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25224,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546\/revisions\/25224"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25223"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/cs\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}