{"id":13876,"date":"2021-12-10T00:04:18","date_gmt":"2021-12-10T00:04:18","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/?p=13876"},"modified":"2021-12-10T00:04:18","modified_gmt":"2021-12-10T00:04:18","slug":"hurricane-elsas-early-arrival-a-sign-of-a-busy-season-ahead","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/science\/meteorology\/hurricane-elsas-early-arrival-a-sign-of-a-busy-season-ahead\/","title":{"rendered":"Elsa Kas\u0131rgas\u0131: Yo\u011fun Bir Kas\u0131rga Sezonu \u0130\u00e7in Uyar\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Elsa Kas\u0131rgas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n Erken Geli\u015fi: Hareketli Bir Sezonun \u0130\u015fareti<\/h2>\n\n<p>Temmuz ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda Yenge\u00e7 D\u00f6nencesi&#8217;nin g\u00fcneyinde olu\u015fan Elsa Kas\u0131rgas\u0131, ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar aras\u0131nda 2021 Atlantik kas\u0131rga sezonunun normalden daha aktif olabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde endi\u015felere yol a\u00e7t\u0131. Elsa h\u0131zla tropik bir f\u0131rt\u0131naya d\u00f6n\u00fc\u015fse de erken olu\u015fumu, tarihsel olarak kas\u0131rga aktivitesindeki art\u0131\u015fla ili\u015fkilendirilen nadir bir olayd\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0130simlendirilmi\u015f F\u0131rt\u0131nalar ve Kas\u0131rgalar \u0130\u00e7in Tahminlerin Artmas\u0131<\/h2>\n\n<p>Elsa&#8217;n\u0131n geli\u015fmesinin ard\u0131ndan Kolorado Eyalet \u00dcniversitesi&#8217;nden atmosfer bilimci Phil Klotzbach ve ekibi, 2021 kas\u0131rga sezonu tahminlerini y\u00fckseltti. \u015eimdi, daha \u00f6nce tahmin ettikleri 17 isimli f\u0131rt\u0131na ve sekiz kas\u0131rgaya k\u0131yasla en az 20 isimli tropik f\u0131rt\u0131na ve dokuz isimli kas\u0131rga \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyorlar.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Erken Sezon Kas\u0131rgalar\u0131 Bir Haberci Olarak<\/h2>\n\n<p>Klotzbach&#8217;a g\u00f6re, tropik b\u00f6lgelerde erken sezon kas\u0131rga aktivitesi genellikle &#8220;\u00e7ok aktif bir sezonun habercisidir&#8221;. Bunun nedeni, bu t\u00fcr f\u0131rt\u0131nalar\u0131n tipik olarak kas\u0131rga sezonunun en yo\u011fun oldu\u011fu eyl\u00fcl ve ekim aylar\u0131nda Ekvator ile Yenge\u00e7 D\u00f6nencesi aras\u0131ndaki &#8220;ana geli\u015fim b\u00f6lgesinde&#8221; olu\u015fmas\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Ulusal Kas\u0131rga Merkezi&#8217;nin Hiperaktif Sezonlar S\u0131n\u0131fland\u0131rmas\u0131<\/h2>\n\n<p>Ge\u00e7mi\u015fte, kas\u0131rgalar 1 A\u011fustos&#8217;tan \u00f6nce olu\u015ftu\u011funda Ulusal Kas\u0131rga Merkezi, bu sezonlar\u0131 &#8220;hiperaktif&#8221; olarak etiketlemi\u015ftir. Bu tan\u0131m, sezonun ortalaman\u0131n \u00fczerinde say\u0131da isimlendirilmi\u015f f\u0131rt\u0131na ve kas\u0131rga \u00fcretme olas\u0131l\u0131\u011f\u0131n\u0131n y\u00fcksek oldu\u011funu g\u00f6sterir.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">NOAA&#8217;n\u0131n Normalden Daha Yo\u011fun Sezon Tahmini<\/h2>\n\n<p>NOAA&#8217;n\u0131n \u0130klim Tahmin Merkezi de normalden daha yo\u011fun bir kas\u0131rga sezonu \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor. Ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar, rekor k\u0131ran 2020 sezonundan daha az aktif ancak yine de potansiyel olarak sorunlu olan 13 ila 20 isimli f\u0131rt\u0131na ve \u00fc\u00e7 ila be\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fck kas\u0131rga \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcyor.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Erken Haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00d6nemi<\/h2>\n\n<p>NOAA&#8217;n\u0131n Ge\u00e7ici \u0130darecisi Ben Friedman, erken haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131n \u00f6nemini vurgulayarak, &#8220;NOAA bilim insanlar\u0131 bu sezonun ge\u00e7en y\u0131lki kadar yo\u011fun olmas\u0131n\u0131 beklememekle birlikte, bir toplulu\u011fu harap etmek i\u00e7in sadece bir f\u0131rt\u0131na yeterlidir&#8221; dedi.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Uyar\u0131c\u0131 Bir \u00d6yk\u00fc Olarak Rekor K\u0131ran 2020 Sezonu<\/h2>\n\n<p>Amerika Birle\u015fik Devletleri&#8217;ne alt\u0131 kas\u0131rgan\u0131n \u00e7arparak rekor k\u0131rd\u0131\u011f\u0131 ac\u0131mas\u0131z 2020 kas\u0131rga sezonu, bu f\u0131rt\u0131nalar\u0131n yaratabilece\u011fi y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 etkinin bir hat\u0131rlat\u0131c\u0131s\u0131 g\u00f6revi g\u00f6r\u00fcyor. K\u0131y\u0131 topluluklar\u0131 bu y\u0131l benzer bir sezona haz\u0131rl\u0131kl\u0131 olmal\u0131d\u0131r.<\/p>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Kas\u0131rga Sezonuna Haz\u0131rl\u0131k Ad\u0131mlar\u0131<\/h2>\n\n<p>Bireyler ve topluluklar kas\u0131rga sezonuna haz\u0131rlanmak i\u00e7in \u015fu ad\u0131mlar\u0131 atabilir:<\/p>\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li>Kas\u0131rga haz\u0131rl\u0131\u011f\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgi ve kaynaklar i\u00e7in Ready.gov ve Listo.gov adreslerini ziyaret edin.<\/li>\n<li>Federal G\u00fcvenli Evler \u0130ttifak\u0131 (FLASH) kurulu\u015fu taraf\u0131ndan geli\u015ftirilen bir web sitesi olan hurricanestrong.org&#8217;u ziyaret ederek evleri g\u00fc\u00e7lendirin ve aileleri koruyun.<\/li>\n<li>NOAA ve Ulusal Kas\u0131rga Merkezi&#8217;nin kas\u0131rga tahminleri ve uyar\u0131lar\u0131 hakk\u0131nda bilgi edinin.<\/li>\n<li>Bir tahliye plan\u0131 geli\u015ftirin ve gerekirse gidece\u011finiz g\u00fcvenli yerleri belirleyin.<\/li>\n<li>Yiyecek, su, ilk yard\u0131m kitleri ve piller dahil olmak \u00fczere acil durum malzemeleri edinin.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Sonu\u00e7<\/h2>\n\n<p>Elsa Kas\u0131rgas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n erken geli\u015fi, 2021 Atlantik kas\u0131rga sezonunun aktif olabilece\u011finin g\u00fc\u00e7l\u00fc bir g\u00f6stergesidir. K\u0131y\u0131 topluluklar\u0131, potansiyel f\u0131rt\u0131nalara haz\u0131rlanmak ve sakinlerinin g\u00fcvenli\u011fini sa\u011flamak i\u00e7in \u015fimdi harekete ge\u00e7melidir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Elsa Kas\u0131rgas\u0131&#8217;n\u0131n Erken Geli\u015fi: Hareketli Bir Sezonun \u0130\u015fareti Temmuz ay\u0131 ba\u015f\u0131nda Yenge\u00e7 D\u00f6nencesi&#8217;nin g\u00fcneyinde olu\u015fan Elsa Kas\u0131rgas\u0131, ara\u015ft\u0131rmac\u0131lar aras\u0131nda 2021 Atlantik kas\u0131rga sezonunun normalden daha aktif olabilece\u011fi y\u00f6n\u00fcnde endi\u015felere yol&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1278],"tags":[18672,7428,18671,18670,34,3869,1275,3870,18673],"class_list":["post-13876","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-meteorology","tag-named-storms","tag-disaster-preparedness","tag-atlantic-hurricane-season","tag-hurricane-elsa","tag-climate-change","tag-hurricane-season","tag-hurricanes","tag-coastal-communities","tag-tropical-storms"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13876","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=13876"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13876\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":13877,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/13876\/revisions\/13877"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=13876"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=13876"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=13876"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}