{"id":546,"date":"2026-01-15T04:07:19","date_gmt":"2026-01-15T04:07:19","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/?p=546"},"modified":"2026-01-15T04:07:19","modified_gmt":"2026-01-15T04:07:19","slug":"astrologers-predictions-1929-fallacy-false-hope","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/science\/history-of-science\/astrologers-predictions-1929-fallacy-false-hope\/","title":{"rendered":"1929: Y\u0131ld\u0131zlar bar\u0131\u015f derken borsa y\u0131k\u0131ld\u0131"},"content":{"rendered":"<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Astrolo\u011fun 1929 Tahminleri: Sahte Umut ve Yan\u0131lg\u0131 \u00d6rne\u011fi<\/h2>\n\n<p>Amerikan tarihinin sayfalar\u0131nda 1929, b\u00fcy\u00fck buhran\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131n\u0131 simgeleyen k\u00f6t\u00fc \u015f\u00f6hretli bir ekonomik karga\u015fa y\u0131l\u0131 olarak durur; ancak geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, ya her \u015fey farkl\u0131 olsayd\u0131 diye merak ediyor insan?<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">K\u0131rkayak Onlar: \u0130yimserlik On Y\u0131l\u0131<\/h3>\n\n<p>1920\u2019ler e\u015fi g\u00f6r\u00fclmemi\u015f b\u00fcy\u00fcme ve refah ony\u0131l\u0131yd\u0131. Radyo, sinema ve otomobildeki teknolojik at\u0131l\u0131mlar ulusu daha \u00f6nce hi\u00e7 olmad\u0131\u011f\u0131 \u015fekilde birbirine ba\u011flad\u0131. Kad\u0131nlar oy kullanma hakk\u0131 kazand\u0131, borsa rekor \u00fcst\u00fcne rekor k\u0131rd\u0131.<\/p>\n\n<p>Bu umut havas\u0131 i\u00e7inde astrolo\u011fular 1929 i\u00e7in g\u00f6z\u00fc kara \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fclerde bulundu. 30 Aral\u0131k 1928\u2019de Ogden Standard-Examiner\u2019da yay\u0131mlanan bir yaz\u0131da, astrolo\u011fular y\u0131l boyunca s\u00fcrecek refahla birlikte \u00fccretlerin ve giderlerin zirve yapaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131, y\u0131l sonunda d\u00fcnya bar\u0131\u015f\u0131n\u0131n sa\u011flanaca\u011f\u0131n\u0131 \u00f6ne s\u00fcrd\u00fcler.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">1929 B\u00fcy\u00fck \u00c7\u00f6k\u00fc\u015f\u00fc: Sert Uyan\u0131\u015f<\/h3>\n\n<p>Art\u0131k biliyoruz ki, astrolo\u011fun \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri bu kadar yanl\u0131\u015f olamazd\u0131. 24 Ekim 1929\u2019da borsa balonu patlad\u0131, zincirleme y\u0131k\u0131m ba\u015flad\u0131. Borsa d\u00fc\u015fmeye devam etti ve 28 Ekim\u2019deki kara sal\u0131 g\u00fcn\u00fc de\u011ferinin %11\u2019ini yitirerek zirve yapt\u0131.<\/p>\n\n<p>Ard\u0131ndan gelen b\u00fcy\u00fck buhran Amerikan ekonomisine ve toplumuna y\u0131k\u0131c\u0131 darbe indirdi. Milyonlar i\u015fini kaybetti, i\u015fletmeler kapand\u0131, yoksulluk kol gezdi.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Astrolojik Tahminlerin Sa\u00e7mal\u0131\u011f\u0131<\/h3>\n\n<p>1929\u2019da tutmayan astrolo\u011fun \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri, gelece\u011fi y\u0131ld\u0131zlara bakarak okuma d\u00fc\u015f\u00fcncesinin yan\u0131lg\u0131s\u0131n\u0131 g\u00f6zler \u00f6n\u00fcne serer. Astroloji, ki\u015finin do\u011fumu ya da bir olay s\u0131ras\u0131ndaki g\u00f6k cisimlerinin konumlar\u0131n\u0131n kaderini etkileyebilece\u011fi inanc\u0131na dayan\u0131r; ancak bu iddiay\u0131 destekleyen bilimsel kan\u0131t yoktur.<\/p>\n\n<p>Gelecek olaylar\u0131 kestirme sanat\u0131 olan kehanet, bilim, sanat ve \u015fans\u0131n karma\u015f\u0131k bir kar\u0131\u015f\u0131m\u0131d\u0131r. Baz\u0131 tahminler isabetli \u00e7\u0131kabilir, fakat salt astroloji ya da di\u011fer s\u00f6zde bilimsel y\u00f6ntemlere bel ba\u011flamak sonu\u00e7suzdur.<\/p>\n\n<h3 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Geriye D\u00f6n\u00fck Bak\u0131\u015f ve Tarihsel Anlay\u0131\u015f<\/h3>\n\n<p>Geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, 1920\u2019lerin iyimserli\u011finin bir\u00e7ok ki\u015fiyi buhrana g\u00f6t\u00fcrecek temel ekonomik sorunlara k\u00f6r etti\u011fini g\u00f6r\u00fcyoruz. Borsa a\u015f\u0131r\u0131 de\u011ferlenmi\u015fti, spek\u00fclasyon alabildi\u011fine yayg\u0131nd\u0131. Astrolo\u011fun \u00f6ng\u00f6r\u00fcleri yaln\u0131zca egzaman\u0131n h\u00e2kim oldu\u011fu havay\u0131 peki\u015ftirdi, gelece\u011fe dair ger\u00e7ek bir i\u00e7g\u00f6r\u00fc sa\u011flamad\u0131.<\/p>\n\n<p>Tarihsel olaylar\u0131 anlamak i\u00e7in olgular\u0131 ele\u015ftirel bi\u00e7imde incelemek ve varsay\u0131mlar\u0131 sorgulamak gerekir. Geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bak\u0131\u015f de\u011ferli dersler sunsa da gelece\u011fin her zaman belirsiz oldu\u011funu unutmamak gerekir.<\/p>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Astrolo\u011fun 1929 Tahminleri: Sahte Umut ve Yan\u0131lg\u0131 \u00d6rne\u011fi Amerikan tarihinin sayfalar\u0131nda 1929, b\u00fcy\u00fck buhran\u0131n ba\u015flang\u0131c\u0131n\u0131 simgeleyen k\u00f6t\u00fc \u015f\u00f6hretli bir ekonomik karga\u015fa y\u0131l\u0131 olarak durur; ancak geriye d\u00f6n\u00fck bakt\u0131\u011f\u0131m\u0131zda, ya her&hellip;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":25209,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[61],"tags":[1361,524,1362,1363,27],"class_list":["post-546","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-history-of-science","tag-astrology","tag-great-depression","tag-predictions","tag-science-and-pseudoscience","tag-history"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=546"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":25210,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/546\/revisions\/25210"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/25209"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=546"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=546"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.lifescienceart.com\/tr\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=546"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}